Contents
Summary
Agenda
Artwork Gallery
Participants
Day 1
Introduction
An Exploration of Zig-Zagging
Hider Theory
Investigating Terrorist and Smuggling Games
An Operation Perspective of Submarine Evasion Operations
An Operation Perspective of Smuggling Tactics
Day 2
Breakout Sessions
Hiding Contraband (WMD)
ASW & Military Examples
Final Summary
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Group 2: ASW and Other Military Examples
Michelle Jarvais, David Jarvis, Rich Katz, Brian McCue, Frank
Mulcahy, Bill Pruitt
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The ASW group looked at Hider Theory in the military context, specifically
from the submarine framework. They illustrated the potential operational
scenario with Blue high-value units, such as a carrier, trying to
do a transit. Sometimes the Hider likes to stay clandestine, but
other times the Hider has a mission to accomplish.

See enlargement
A Searcher would want to minimize hiding discontinuities where
a Hider comes from a Hider such as special forces deploying from
a submarine. When you have submarine vs. submarine, the Searcher
then also becomes a hider. Any type of mobile missile launchers,
such as TELs and Soviet nuclear trucks demonstrate the “Great
Scud Hide”.
The group zeroed in on the sub attack on a carrier. In the general competitive context, Orange is trying to sink Blue carrier in one of two scenarios, either Blue transiting to an operational area, or Blue in carrier flight operations on a coastline. Orange has submarines and other information assets, such as aircraft, to cue submarines. Blue, as carrier (the primary hider), has subs, helicopters, and other information assets such as surface escorts and satellites.
The environmental considerations in this case would involve water depth, water conditions, and coastal distance.
If we attach roles to all of the elements we can see the matrix. The Blue carrier, submarine, helicopters and other information assets are all hiding, cueing, and searching and trying to kill while the Orange submarine and assets are in turn doing their similar parts.

In the operational context, the sub attack on the carrier shows
the primary Hider is the Blue carrier while the secondary Hiders
are the other Blue and Orange platforms. The big question is, “is
his sub going to find my carrier before my sub finds his sub?”
One of the facts that would help the Hider is standoff distance
from the shore. The farther out you are the better you can hide.

Insights and conclusions show that both Blue and Orange are dual
Searchers and Hiders. There is a split personality notion here on
many levels. It is hard to think about being the Hider when you
concentrate on being the Searcher. A simple view of each side is
disadvantageous. There is a network of interactions between both
sides.
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