Red Move 1: Year 2010

Move Brief - Objective

• Maintain influence in region
  • Deny Blue ability to control cyberspace, rf spectrum
  • Deny Blue cloaking ability (physical stealth, special ops)
  • Protect intelligence assets/deny intelligence
  • Take space high ground
  • Land and maritime footholds in region
  • Build regional alliances – be regional “good guy”
  • Deny Blue military coalition building in region
  • Protect against/counter Blue efforts to demonize me
  • Continue existing co-optive activities against Blue
• Maintain global relevance (“face is everything”)
• Maintain my economic stability
• Protect ability to advance technically
• Maintain existing political/social/military order
• Protect against subversive/co-optive efforts of Blue
• Defend against C4ISR coupled with LRPS
• Maintain or exceed C2 technical parity with Blue

Move Brief - Actions

• Denial and deception
  • Advanced cover capabilities
  • Provide strategic information and disinformation (honeypots to attack self confidence)
• Develop blue water navy (regional power projection)
• Negotiate mutual defense pact within region
• Establish university presence across world (endowments and students and faculty)
  • Cultural propaganda
  • Offensive intelligence gathering and recruiting
• Subversive actions to discredit Blue government from within and internationally
  • Expose sensor grid as violation of international sovereignty
  • Foster paranoia of government within Blue society
• Invest in neighbors to increase codependence
• Explore and establish space capabilities

Move Brief – Expected Response

D&D for sensors

• Spend more money
• Lose faith in capability

Develop blue water navy

• Beef up defenses (spend more money), deploy more forces in region

Negotiate mutual security treaty in region

• Reciprocate with own regional pack

Minority Opinions

• Threaten with Nuclear weapon use or submarines external to region
• Don’t feed paranoia – may cause overresponse